Increased rate coding does not necessarily lead to overtraining, it leads to increased fatigue accumulation. Failing a rep or lift something very heavy will not overtrain you, even if your rate coding sky rockets. If you're silly enough to fail every workout or do 20 singles every day then sure it will, but we're not talking about that here.
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Increases in fitness or ability come from chronic exposure because your body adapts to the environment its put in, not because you lifted a heavy barbell one time.
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That was a dual factor reference, not an aerobics reference or a stamina reference.
I'm very well aware of strength training and what its about. You're missing my whole point with the bicep curl being a measure of strength. Back against the wall, barbell or dumbbel, it doesn't matter. It is not a measure of strength, its a measure of how much you can curl. Isolation exercises are very poor choices to measure progress or strength.
Take your current exercises and change them to see how well balanced your program is. Throw in compound movements like chinups and overhead squats or pistol squats.